Nigeria’s public finances are expanding rapidly at both federal and state levels. The Federal Government plans to spend N58.18 trillion in 2026, nearly four times the N14.63 trillion spent in 2022. Debt servicing is projected at N15.52 trillion, up from N3.76 trillion in 2022. At the subnational level, states are receiving record allocations from the Federation Account following subsidy removal and exchange-rate reforms.
The numbers suggest scale. The outcomes suggest strain.
Between 2022 and 2025, cumulative federal deficits reached roug
