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Jonathan’s performance rating declines by 10 points in December – NOIPolls

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The NOIPolls Limited, on Tuesday, released a report of its monthly governance poll which revealed that 40 percent of the participants approved of President Goodluck Jonathan’s performance over the past month.

In comparison to the performance poll results from November 2013, these results showed a 10-point decline in Jonathan’s approval rating and was also his lowest in 2013.

Other results from the findings revealed a five-point decline in the current administration’s (the executive cabinet, ministers and state governors) rating and an eight-point increase in the number of Nigerians who had experienced some improvements in power supply (26% in November to 34% in December, 2013).

Participants in the survey were asked three questions:

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Jonathan in the past one month?

40 percent of the participants approved of his performance, 29 percent disapproved and 31 percent were neutral, neither approving nor disapproving. The results showed a 10-point decline from the president’s November approval rating (50%) and a seven-point increase in those who disapproved of his performance from the November rating (22%).

Results based on geopolitical zones

The South East zone, with 58 percent, had the highest number of participants who approved of the president’s performance. The North West (40%), North East (38%) and South West (35%) zones had the highest number of participants who disapproved of the president’s performance in December.

“Evaluating the President’s rating over the year 2013 reveals that the President obtained the highest approval ratings for his performance in August (57%), followed by October (55%) and February (54%).

“On the other hand, the President received the lowest approval ratings in the months of December (40%) and April (42%) 2013.

“Furthermore, analyses using quarterly averages reveal that the 3rd quarter of 2013 with an average of 53% was the President’s best quarter in terms of approval ratings; while the 2nd quarter with an average of 43% was the worst quarter in terms of the President’s approval rating.

“The year round average approval rating in 2013 was 49%,” the report stated.

2. How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month?

43 percent of the participants believed that the administration had performed averagely in December. 25 percent felt they performed well and 32 percent felt that they had performed poorly.

Results based on geopolitical zones

The North Central and South West zones, with 47 percent each, had the highest number of participants who rated the administration’s performance averagely.

The North East zone (45%) had the highest number of participants who rated the administration poorly and the South East zone (40%) had the highest number of participants who believed that the administration had performed well.

According to the report, these results showed, “a 5-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approve of the performance of the current administration from November (30%) to December (25%).

“Comparable to the President’s approval rating, the current administration also received its highest approval rating in August (35%); while its lowest rating was in April (16%).

“Analyses using quarterly averages reveal that the best quarter for the current administration was the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2013 with an average rating of 29% each and the worst quarter for the current administration was the 2nd quarter with an average approval rating of 20%.

“Comparing this to the quarterly analysis for the President’s ratings, both ratings mirror each other,  2nd  quarter was the worst quarter for both as the 3rd was the best for both.

“This mirrors the perceptions that both ratings are closely linked to each other, if ratings are high for the President, it reflects on his Cabinet and vice versa.

“The average quarterly rating of the current administration for 2013 was 25%.”

3. How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month?

34 percent of the participants said they had noticed slight improvements in their power supply over the past month. 29 percent said their power supply had remained bad, 21 percent said there was no difference and 16 percent said it had gotten worse.

Results based on geopolitical zones

The South East zone, with 46 percent, had the highest number of participants who had experienced improved power supply. The North Central zone (29%) had the highest number of participants who had experienced no change in their power supply. The North West zone (36%) had the highest number of participants whose power supply had remained bad and the North East zone (23%) had the highest number of participants who said power supply had gotten worse over the past month

According to the report, “Trend analysis of the Power supply in Nigeria over 2013 reveals an 8-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that noticed an improvement in December. Furthermore, the highest power rating in Nigeria was recorded in January 2013 (47%) the while the lowest power rating was observed in November (26%).

“Quarterly analysis of 2013 shows that power supply was best over the 1st quarter with an average of 41%, and worst over the 2nd and 4th quarters with an average of 33% each. The worst quarter in terms of power supply ratings mirrors the lowest rating for the President and current administration.

“Indeed previous Governance Poll releases had suggested a loose relationship between power supply and the perception of Nigerians about the performance of the President and his administration.”