Nigeria’s controversial amnesty and reintegration programme for “repentant” terrorists and bandits is facing renewed scrutiny, as emerging findings point to rising financial costs, weak oversight, and deepening public scepticism over its long-term effectiveness.

Originally introduced as a peacebuilding strategy, the programme—spanning the Federal Government’s Operation Safe Corridor in the Northeast and various state-led initiatives in the Northwest—was designed to encourage fighters to surrender arms in exchange for rehabilitation, vocational training, and financial support. However, nearly a decade after its rollout, the policy is increasingly viewed as a high-risk gamble with uncertain returns.

A costly peace strategy

Although exact figures remain difficult to obtain due to limited transparency, security analysts estimate that Nigeria has spent between N150 billion and N250 billion on amnesty-related programmes since 2016. This includes costs associated with rehabilitation camps, security operations, vocational training, stipends, housing support, and post-reintegration monitoring.

Operation Safe Corridor alone is believed to cost billions annually, factoring in logistics, military supervision, feeding, psychological counselling, and skills acquisition programmes for thousands of participants.

At the state level, additional spending on negotiations, compensation packages, and proposed Disarmament, Demobilisation and Reintegration (DDR) centres—such as the one planned in Benue—adds to the financial burden.
Critics argue that the lack of publicly available audits raises concerns about accountability and value for money, especially in a country grappling with economic constraints and competing development priorities.

A policy under pressure

The deradicalisation initiative, launched in 2016, aimed to reform low-risk Boko Haram defectors and reintegrate them into society. Yet, despite years of implementation, insurgency and banditry persist across multiple regions.
Reports of some rehabilitated individuals allegedly returning to violence have reinforced claims of a “revolving door” system—where ex-combatants cycle in and out of crime.

“There is no clear system to verify who is genuinely repentant,” said Mercy Musa, Executive Director of the Frontier for Peace Advocacy and Governance Initiative in Kano. She maintained that while rehabilitation is necessary, weak screening processes undermine its credibility.

“Only those who have sincerely renounced violence should benefit. Otherwise, the system risks being abused,” she said.

Communities left out

Across affected states, a recurring concern is the exclusion of host communities from the reintegration process.
In Adamawa, residents say they were neither consulted nor adequately prepared for the return of former insurgents. Many expressed fears about safety, trust, and social cohesion.

“You cannot fully trust someone who has been involved in terrorism,” said resident Yagana Ali. “Even if they claim to have changed, how do we know their true intentions?”

Others argue that the ideological roots of extremism make quick rehabilitation unrealistic. “Terrorism is not in the hands; it is in the mind,” said Umar Yusuf. “You cannot simply retrain someone overnight.”

For victims, the sense of injustice is even more pronounced. Ismael Mohammed pointed out that many survivors of violence remain in Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camps, struggling to rebuild their lives while former perpetrators receive government support.

Read also: Peace advocate faults rehabilitation, reintegration of repentant terrorists

Rewarding violence?

Civil society organisations warn that the current framework may unintentionally incentivise criminality.
Rafiu Lawal, Executive Director of Building Blocks for Peace Foundation, an NGO based in Abuja, described the programme as sending a dangerous signal.

“The system rewards those who take up arms while law-abiding citizens are ignored,” he said. “If violence becomes a pathway to recognition and support, it creates a perverse incentive.”

According to him, the imbalance between support for ex-combatants and neglect of victims undermines both justice and peacebuilding efforts.

The Niger Delta debate

Supporters of the programme often reference the 2009 Niger Delta amnesty as a successful precedent. However, analysts caution against direct comparisons.

Public affairs analyst Nicholas Nwerunounye, speaking to BusinessDay from his base in Ilorin, argued that the scale, ideology, and structure of insurgent groups in the North differ significantly.

“What we are dealing with here is terrorism, not just militancy,” he said. “These individuals have been deeply radicalised. Reintegration without a robust system is risky and premature.”

He also questioned the transparency of deradicalisation processes, noting that without clear benchmarks, it is difficult to assess whether participants are truly reformed.

Benue’s Alternative Model

In Benue State, authorities are attempting to refine the reintegration approach through a planned DDR centre targeting local bandits, particularly women and children forced into criminal networks.

Josephine Habba, Director General of the State Commission for Peace and Reconciliation, said the initiative aims to break recruitment cycles by rehabilitating vulnerable individuals and equipping them with livelihoods.

More than 400 individuals have reportedly been cleared for rehabilitation, while over 1,800 have been rescued from bandit groups.

The centre is expected to provide training, counselling, and start-up support before reintegration, with backing from the military and international partners.

However, even supporters acknowledge the need for caution. Security experts recommend long-term rehabilitation outside offenders’ immediate communities and phased reintegration to reduce risks.

Read also: ADC faults terrorists reintegration plan

The potential upside

Despite widespread criticism, experts say the programme could yield significant benefits—if properly implemented and limited to genuinely repentant individuals.

First, successful reintegration could reduce the number of active fighters, weakening insurgent networks and lowering recruitment rates.

Second, it offers an alternative to purely military solutions, which are often costly and insufficient in addressing the root causes of conflict, such as poverty, marginalisation, and lack of education.

Third, rehabilitation programmes can help transform former fighters into productive citizens, contributing to local economies through skills acquisition in agriculture, trades, and small businesses.

Fourth, when combined with community reconciliation initiatives, reintegration can foster long-term peace by addressing grievances and rebuilding trust.

Finally, breaking the cycle of violence—especially among forcibly recruited women and children—can have generational benefits, preventing the transmission of extremist ideologies.

A fragile balance

In Plateau State, Choji Pwakim of the Youth Initiative Against Violence and Human Rights Abuse stressed that reintegration must be comprehensive.

“It must be a complete package that includes both returnees and host communities,” he said, warning that poor implementation could create new security risks.

He also raised concerns about selective amnesty policies, noting that uneven application could encourage criminal behaviour if perceived as offering undue privileges.

A national dilemma

At its core, Nigeria’s amnesty programme reflects a difficult balancing act between pragmatism and justice.
While military force alone may not end insurgency, unchecked reintegration risks eroding public trust, encouraging recidivism, and placing additional strain on already vulnerable communities.

The financial stakes are equally high. With hundreds of billions of naira already committed, the question is no longer whether Nigeria can afford to invest in reintegration—but whether it can afford to get it wrong.

Without stronger oversight, transparent processes, community involvement, and a clear focus on victims alongside perpetrators, the programme risks becoming a costly cycle with limited impact.

For now, Nigeria’s amnesty gamble continues—caught between the promise of peace and the peril of unintended consequences

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